Analytics
Check your statistics against the highest-rated members.
How your points are calculated
Point change at each confidence level. Formula: 200 × (ln(p) − ln(0.5)) when correct, 200 × (ln(1 − p) − ln(0.5)) when incorrect.
| Confidence | When correct | When incorrect |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 55% | +19.1 | −21.1 |
| 60% | +36.5 | −44.6 |
| 65% | +52.5 | −71.3 |
| 70% | +67.3 | −102.2 |
| 75% | +81.1 | −138.6 |
| 80% | +94.0 | −183.3 |
| 85% | +106.1 | −240.8 |
| 90% | +117.6 | −321.9 |
| 95% | +128.4 | −460.5 |
| 99% | +136.6 | −782.4 |
Confidence below 50% isn't allowed. Choose the opposite direction instead. Void predictions (e.g. missing price data) give 0 points.